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502 MacArthur Ave NE
Gold Standard Listing
The Casey Samson Team

Gold Standard Seller Roadmap™

502 MacArthur Ave NE

Vienna, Virginia

Engineered for a First-Week Sale — Highest Price, Best Terms, Lowest Risk

As of Thursday, September 17, 2026
Recommended Coming Soon
$2,199,999
Expected Sale Price
$2.24M–$2.42M

NOTE: THIS IS PRELIMINARY PRICING ONLY. FINAL PRICING CAN ONLY BE DETERMINED AFTER A VISUAL INSPECTION OF CONDITIONS, UPGRADES AND LOT PREMIUM OR DISCOUNT.

Authenticated Range
$2,244,313 – $2,423,858
Customary to Premium Value™
Money at Risk
$403,977
What mispricing can cost
Vienna Luxury
Buyer's Market
25% under contract
2007
Year built
3,854
Above grade SF
13,400
Lot SF
$2,068,000
Assessment
$2,149,999
Fall back price

Appraisal-Quality Comparable Analysis

Comparable analysis supports the authenticated Customary Value near $2.24M.

PropertyBuiltFinished SFLotAssessmentSales Price
502 MacArthur Ave NE20073,85413,400 SF$2,068,000—
118 Oak St SW20204,06012,721 SF$2,039,470$2,399,999
1712 Abbey Oak Dr20153,77730,492 SF$1,649,780$2,370,000
204 Battle St SW20183,68710,792 SF$1,900,270$2,349,000
121 Tapawingo Rd SW20163,74010,150 SF$1,822,380$2,275,000
Age & Size Average20153,83213,970 SF$1,820,328$2,112,872
Price Range Average20163,77513,280 SF$1,879,690$2,299,750

Authenticated Prices™

Built 2007 · 3,854 SF · Assessment $2,068,000 · Customary $2,244,313

Dated Price

★☆☆
$2,019,881
  • Kitchen and bathrooms are largely original.
  • Paint, lighting, hardware, flooring, and finishes are dated.
  • Overall presentation is below standard.

Customary Price

★★☆
$2,244,313
  • Kitchen and bathrooms updated within ~15 years.
  • Paint, lighting, hardware, flooring, finishes reflect current standard.
  • Overall presentation is competitive with comparable homes.

Premium Price

★★★
$2,423,858
  • Kitchen and bathrooms updated within ~10 years.
  • Upgrades, finishes, and craftsmanship exceed the standard.
  • Overall presentation distinguishes the property from the competition.
Money at Risk
$403,977
Loss of value can occur with over pricing or poor preparation.

Moving the Needle™

Strategic improvements return 7 times the investment.

Buyers do not pay top dollar for dated or DIY homes.

Moving the Needle Up

Presentation Improvements

  • Fresh designer paint and detailed touch-ups
  • Updated lighting, hardware, and fixtures
  • Flooring and finish refinishing
  • Landscaping and curb-appeal enhancements
  • Targeted kitchen and bathroom improvements

Buyer Confidence Improvements

  • Pre-listing home inspection
  • Complete seller disclosures
  • Authenticated Values™ of the property and upgrades
  • Premium photography and cinematic video
  • Highlight condition, location, and lifestyle

Moving the Needle Down

What Buyers Discount For

Conditions buyers do not prefer, and what the market typically takes off for each.

  • Pipestem−$35K to −$50K
  • Double-yellow-line traffic−$50K to −$250K
  • No back yard
  • Non-functioning floor plan
  • Unfinished basement−$25K to −$75K depending on size
  • Roof over 20 years−$25K+ · deal killer

A roof over 20 years should be replaced by a contractor willing to be paid at settlement. The deal killer is removed and the cost is recovered.

Current Competition

Vienna Luxury Market

Current Market Conditions

Buyers Are in Control of This Local Market — A Red Flag, with 37% of All Listings Under Contract

100% of the homes listed in the past 30 days are under contract, so the homes that are priced and prepared correctly are selling. 20% of every listing here went under contract in the last 14 days, so the market is improving.

Market Strength2.8
Success Rate
67%
33% of the homes withdrew unsold
67%
0%60%80%
Total Homes Under Contract
37%
Of listings under contract
37%
0%40%60%100%
Average Days on Market (Active & Pending)
48
Average days on market
48
60+30150
Market Momentum7.0Improving
Under Contract (Last 30 Days)
100%
Of homes listed in the last 30 days went under contract — 1 of 1
100%
0%25%40%70%+
14-Day Absorption Rate
20%
Of all listings went under contract in the last 14 days
20%
0%20%30%60%+
Buyer’s MarketNeutralSeller’s Market

Advice: There are limited homes under contract, indicating weak buyer demand.

Market Update: 1 of the 1 homes listed 8 to 38 days ago is under contract. Of the 10 homes competing with this one, 4 are under contract (3 pending and 1 contingent, counted at seven tenths), which carries the market at 37% and puts it in a buyer’s market. Market Strength scores the share under contract and the days on market from 0 to 10: under 4 the buyers are in control, 4 to 6 neither side is, over 6 the sellers are. The 10 homes competing here have been on the market a median of 48 days. Not one of the 4 homes under contract had ever cut its price, while 4 of the 6 still for sale have cut by an average of 9.2% and are still sitting.

Five homes make up the current competition — 4 active and 1 pending.

4 Active|0 Active Under Contract|1 Pending

StatusPropertyDOMBuiltFinished SFAssessmentList Price
Active513 John Marshall Dr NE4220074,312—$2,250,000
Active9311 Talisman Dr6820144,162—$2,175,000
Active605 Meadow Ln SW2920193,609—$2,099,900
Active1489 Broadstone Pl9120014,049—$2,074,000
Pending9932 Clearfield Ave720213,543—$2,149,900
AverageCompetition Average4720123,935—$2,149,760
Subject502 MacArthur Ave NE—20073,854$2,068,000$2,199,999

CST Pricing Strategy

Based on current market conditions.

Buyers control the Vienna Luxury Market, and a buyer’s market requires conservative choices, so the strategy prices at the first threshold under the authenticated values rather than testing above them.

Authenticated ValueClosest Safe Haven
$2,244,313$2,149,999

The Customary Value of $2,244,313 is the basis for positioning. In this market the strategy takes the closest safe haven beneath it — the $2.15M mark, the line buyers search to.

Notes

513 John Marshall Dr NE comps out at $2.33 million but has sat on the market for 42 days at $2,250,000 and presents as very dated. It is the clearest evidence in this segment that a strong comparable value does not carry a home on its own — condition and entry price are what move buyers. It also sits at the same $2.25 million level as the recommended Coming Soon Price, which makes presentation the deciding difference between the two homes.

Print the Pricing Strategy Summary Target values, market conditions, Preview, Coming Soon and The Launch — one page

The Test

Preview

The home goes public before it goes live.

The home is posted on Preview within two days of a signed Listing Agreement. Photographs, descriptions and property information go up on Zillow, Homes.com, Samson Properties and the rest, letting the public know the home is coming to market before it is available to show.

The estimated value shown on Preview is the threshold just under Customary Value — the same price the home goes live at. Buyers control this market, so there is no premium to ask for first; the figure buyers carry with them is the one that works.

Preview Price
$2,149,999
Threshold under the Customary Value of $2.24M

Coming Soon

The home is placed on the MLS with full photography, descriptions and marketing. The strategy is to test the first threshold under Customary Value.

Coming Soon Price
$2,149,999
First threshold under the Customary Value of $2.24M

The Launch

Predictive Analysis

The first week is the test. Three readings decide the next move: the showings the home actually draws, how it presents once buyers are inside, and what the market is doing underneath both.

5 or more showings

  • The price is reaching buyers and the home is being seen.
  • Hold position and let the first week finish.
  • Traffic without an offer is a condition question, not a price one.
Recommended Active List Price
$2,199,999
Expected Sales Price: $2.24M–$2.42M

Fewer than 5 showings

  • Not enough traffic to create competition.
  • Move to the next buyer pool.
Recommended Active List Price
$2,149,999
Expected Sales Price: $2.24M–$2.42M

Fewer than 3, with the market against you

  • Traffic has stalled and conditions are unfavorable.
  • A further $50,000 adjustment may be due.
Recommended Active List Price
$2,099,999
Expected Sales Price: $2.24M–$2.42M

Both reductions are measured from the Coming Soon price, not from each other — $50,000 to the Fall Back, $100,000 to the deep position. The step is $50,000 and $100,000, or 5% and 10% of the Coming Soon price where that is lower, brought down to sit beneath the nearest threshold. The reduction adjusts position, not value: the authenticated Customary-to-Premium range is unchanged.

Condition. Showings measure whether the price is reaching buyers; condition decides what happens once they are through the door. If the traffic is there and no offer follows, the home is being out-presented rather than out-priced, and preparation is the cheaper fix — see Moving the Needle above.

Market. Right now Vienna Luxury is a Buyer's Market, 25% of listings under contract, 7% in the last 14 days. Conditions are already working against the home, so this column is live rather than hypothetical.

Virginia's #1 Luxury Real Estate Team

Home To

2025 Track Record

97% Success Rate|Average DOM: 6|Average $93,000 Over List

Results Count™